日元大贬值下的日本：外国游客更加多了，大白菜、牛肉面都在涨价-天涯论坛

wrjc1hod 发表于 2024-7-8 16:47:12

日元大贬值下的日本：外国游客更加多了，大白菜、牛肉面都在涨价

资讯原文：
<img src="//q9.itc.cn/images01/20240508/d5d0b3dd10db4faa881139a3a52d2639.jpeg" style="width: 50%; margin-bottom: 20px;">
Kayo，中日混血，常年在日本生活，日前居住在日本东京边上的千叶县。
“最近期元贬值很厉害。”Kayo说道，“我在周边无听到（有伴侣抱怨过物价上涨），但我在电视上看到过。”
Kayo暗示，到日前为止，自己的平常生活还无因日元贬值受到重大影响，但进口商品的价格有所上涨。“因为我的工资是日元，因此我觉得必须重新审视一下我的资产管理。”
谈及出境游的专题，Kayo暗示，自己爱好去国外旅游，尤其是中国，但近期出境游的成本必定增多了。“听说（有人）从日本带方便面和方便米来省钱，放弃买纪念品等等。”
Kayo还提及，近期来日本旅游的外国游客有显著变多。“尤其是银座和（日本）迪士尼乐园比之前有更加多的外国人。”
现年27岁的Vivian于2019年来到日本留学，今年是她在日本东京工作的第二年。因为Vivian在金融行业工作，因此针对日元汇率的变动比较敏锐。
Vivian暗示，日元贬值肯定会对个人生活有所影响。“倘若我在中国生活，那我来日本旅游就更加划算了，这是好的方面。欠好的方面是日本国内物价上涨，以及在日本打工拿到的工资却贬值了。”
物价方面，Vivian关注到食品方面，尤其是肉类涨价会快有些。“肉类的话日本重点是依赖进口，货币贬值肉类价格上涨就快了。”
Vivian认为，来日本旅游的游客并不是近期才多，是疫情平缓以后，来日本的游客一下子增加了，中国游客可能无往常这么火热，但还是挺多的。“近期确实看到非常多欧洲人模样的游客。”
谈及出境游，Vivian暗示，近期愿意思虑出境游的人肯定少，由于日元贬值状况虽然有所恢复，但可能还无达到理想的状态，不外亦会有愿意出去玩的人。
95后的倩倩已然来到日本生活近十年，日前居住在日本千叶县柏市。
五一黄金周的节前几天，倩倩选取来中国度假探亲，却在返回日本的途中看到了非常多去日本旅游的游客。“咱们入境审核好似排队了15分钟，来日本的台湾地区旅游团亦多。”
倩倩提及，自己和身边的伴侣近期都抱怨过日本的物价上涨，在社交网络上亦看到过有人吐槽400日元一颗的大白菜，而一盒香烟86年的时候卖170日元，此刻卖到了540日元。
谈及牛肉面的涨价，倩倩暗示，近期一碗日本牛肉面大概涨了200到300日元，以前在拉面店一碗牛肉面的价格大多在800至900日元。
旅日学者陈同辉向澎湃资讯(www.thepaper.cn)分析叫作，日元贬值的原由一方面在于美国经济增长强韧带来的美元高利率，另一方面来自于日本经济的弱复苏，两者结合引起美日利差维持在高位，带来日元的贬值。
4月29日早间，日元对美元汇率一路走低，自1990年4月败兴首次跌破160。仅今年败兴，日元对美元汇率贬值幅度达10%上下。此前的2021年、2022年、2023年，日元对美元汇率分别贬值11.4%、13.9%、7.6%。
陈同辉暗示，整体看，日元贬值对日本经济有比很强的促进功效，一方面是货币贬值降低了日本劳动力成本，加强了日本制品在国际上的竞争力。另一方面，日本公司持有海量的海外资产，这部分资产产生的收益给日本公司带来海量的汇兑收益，提高日本公司的盈利水平。同期，较低的日元能够帮忙日本吸引来自国际资本的投资，有助于激活日本国内公司的资本开支。
当然，因为日本本身是一个原材料进口国，因此日元的贬值亦会引起日本国内物价上涨。从日前的CPI增速来看，日本CPI增速依旧无达到2%的目的，这亦是日本银行面对日元贬值较为“佛系”的原由。从这一点看，民众的抱怨很大原由在于习惯了以往通缩状态下物价的稳定，后续得看日本日前依靠日元贬值所带来的公司盈利与资本开支的增多能否连续惠及普通民众。
陈同辉认为，日前状况下，日元兑美元的汇率后续走势，更加多取决于美国经济的增长状况。从个人的判断看，美国应该火速会进入“紧财政，宽货币”的政策组合，美元强势接近尾声，后续日元很难对美元继续大幅贬值。
（文中Vivian、倩倩为化名。另外，文中提及的商品详细物价基于受访对象的个人感受，可能会因为城市与店面的区别有所差异。）
资讯译文：
Kayo, of mixed race between China and Japan, lives in Japan all year round and currently resides in Chiba Prefecture near Tokyo.
"The depreciation of the Japanese yen has been very severe recently," Kayo said. "I havent heard it around (some friends have complained about rising prices), but I have seen it on TV."
Kayo stated that so far, her daily life has not been significantly affected by the depreciation of the yen, but the prices of imported goods have increased. "As my salary is in Japanese yen, I feel the need to re-examine my asset management."
When it comes to outbound tourism, Kayo said that she enjoys traveling abroad, especially in China, but the cost of outbound tourism has definitely increased recently. "I heard that some people bring instant noodles and instant rice from Japan to save money, give up buying souvenirs, and so on."
Kayo also mentioned that there has been a significant increase in the number of foreign tourists visiting Japan recently. "Especially Ginza and Disneyland (Japan) have more foreigners than before."
Vivian, who is now 27 years old, came to Japan to study in 2019. This year marks her second year working in Tokyo, Japan. Due to Vivians work in the financial industry, he is sensitive to fluctuations in the Japanese yen exchange rate.
Vivian said that the depreciation of the yen will definitely have an impact on personal life. "If I live in China, it would be more cost-effective for me to travel to Japan, which is the good thing. The bad thing is that domestic prices in Japan are rising, and the wages I earn while working in Japan are depreciating."
In terms of prices, Vivian is concerned about the food sector, especially meat prices, which will rise faster. "For meat, Japan mainly relies on imports, and as the currency depreciates, meat prices rise quickly."
Vivian believes that the number of tourists visiting Japan is not as high as recently. It is because after the epidemic subsided, the number of tourists visiting Japan suddenly increased. Chinese tourists may not be as popular as usual, but there are still quite a few. "Recently, I have indeed seen many tourists with European appearances."
When it comes to outbound travel, Vivian said that there will definitely be fewer people willing to consider it in the near future, because although the depreciation of the yen has recovered, it may not have reached the ideal state yet, but there will also be people willing to go out and play.
Qianqian, born in 1995, has been living in Japan for nearly ten years and currently resides in Kashiwagi, Chiba Prefecture.
A few days before the May Day Golden Week holiday, Qianqian chose to come to China for vacation and family visits, but on her way back to Japan, she saw many tourists visiting Japan. "We seem to have been queuing for 15 minutes for the immigration review, and there are also many tourist groups coming to Taiwan in Japan."
Qianqian mentioned that she and her friends recently complained about the rising prices in Japan, and she also saw someone roast about the 400 yen cabbage on social networks. A pack of cigarettes sold 170 yen in 1986, but now it sells 540 yen.
When talking about the rise in the price of beef noodles, Qianqian said that a bowl of Japanese beef noodles has recently risen by about 200 to 300 yen. Previously, the price of a bowl of beef noodles in a Lamian Noodles shop was mostly 800 to 900 yen.
Scholar Chen Tonghui from Japan analyzed to Paper (www.thepaper. cn) that the reason for the depreciation of the Japanese yen is twofold: on the one hand, the strong growth of the US economy has led to high interest rates in the US dollar, and on the other hand, it is due to the weak recovery of the Japanese economy. The combination of the two has resulted in a high interest rate spread between the US and Japan, leading to the depreciation of the yen.
On the morning of April 29th, the Japanese yen depreciated against the US dollar, falling below 160 for the first time since April 1990. Since the beginning of this year alone, the depreciation of the Japanese yen against the US dollar has reached about 10%. In 2021, 2022, and 2023, the Japanese yen depreciated against the US dollar by 11.4%, 13.9%, and 7.6%, respectively.
Chen Tonghui stated that overall, the depreciation of the Japanese yen has a significant promoting effect on the Japanese economy. On the one hand, the depreciation of the currency has reduced Japans labor costs and enhanced the competitiveness of Japanese products internationally. On the other hand, Japanese companies have a large amount of overseas assets, and the income generated from these assets brings a lot of exchange earnings to Japanese companies, improving their profitability. Meanwhile, a lower yen can help Japan attract investment from international capital and activate the capital expenditures of domestic Japanese enterprises.
Of course, as Japan itself is a country that imports raw materials, the depreciation of the yen will also lead to an increase in domestic prices in Japan. From the current CPI growth rate, it can be seen that Japans CPI growth rate has not yet reached the target of 2%, which is also the reason why the Bank of Japan is more prone to the depreciation of the yen. From this point of view, the main reason for the publics complaints is that they have become accustomed to the stability of prices under previous deflationary conditions. In the future, it depends on whether Japans current reliance on the depreciation of the yen can continue to benefit the general public through the increase in corporate profits and capital expenditures.
Chen Tonghui believes that in the current situation, the subsequent trend of the exchange rate between the Japanese yen and the US dollar depends more on the growth of the US economy. From my personal judgment, the United States should soon enter a policy combination of "tight fiscal and loose currency", with the strong US dollar nearing its end, and it will be difficult for the Japanese yen to continue to depreciate significantly against the US dollar in the future.
(Vivian and Qianqian are pseudonyms in the article. In addition, the specific prices of the products mentioned in the article are based on the personal feelings of the interviewees and may vary due to differences in cities and storefronts.)
<h1 style="color: black; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 10px;">重点词汇</h1>千叶县 Chiba Prefecture ; 【地名】【日本】Chiba-ken日元贬值 Yen Depreciation ; devaluation of yen在周边 around物价上涨 Inflation ; price inflation ; price hike ; inflation of prices到日前为止 so far ; by now ; up to now ; as yet ; up to present平常生活 daily life ; everyday life重大影响 Significant impact ; Significant influence ; major impact进口商品 import commodity (pl. commodities) ; import goods我觉得 I think ; I feel ; in my opinion资产管理 Asset Management ; AMC ; EAM句子成份分析：
Chen Tonghui believes | that , the subsequent trend (of the exchange rate (between the Japanese yen and the US dollar)) depends on the growth (of the US economy).
句子语法结构详解：
* believes 为谓语，采用通常此刻时。动词采用第三人叫作单数形式。
* that 为连词，引导宾语从句。
* depends 为谓语，采用通常此刻时。动词采用第三人叫作单数形式。
* us 为人叫作代词宾格。the 为定冠词。
句子关联词汇解释：
Phrase:
between...and... 在...和...之间
Japanese Yen 日圆
US dollar 美元，美金
depend on... 1) 依靠,信赖 2) 取决于，由...决定 3) 必须, 依赖
Vocabulary:
believe vt. 1) 相信，认为真实 2) 认为(……有可能), 把（某事）当真
current a. 1) 当前的，此刻的，现时出现的 2) 通用的，流通的，流行的
situation [,sitjueiʃәn] n. 1) 状况，情况，形势 2) 地点，地理位置
subsequent a. 随后的，后来的
trend n. 趋势，趋向，倾向，动态，动向
exchange n. 1) 交换，交流 2) （货币）兑换 3) tel交换台，总机
rate n. 1) 比率，率 2) 速度，进度
more ad. 1) (与形容词或副词连用，形成比较级)更 2) 更加; 更甚
growth n. 1) 生长，生长 2) 增多，加强
US [ʌs] abbr ( = United States) 美国
economy n. 1) 经济，经济情况 2) 经济体
句子成份分析：
, the Japanese yen depreciated , falling .
句子语法结构详解：
* depreciated 为谓语，采用通常过去时。
* falling 为此刻分词，作状语。
* the 为定冠词。
句子关联词汇解释：
Phrase:
Japanese Yen 日圆
US dollar 美元，美金
for the first time 第1次，首次，初次
Vocabulary:
morning n. 1) 上午,早晨 2) 半夜至正午的时间
depreciate vi. 贬值
against [әgeinst] prep. 1) 反对, 逆着 2) 靠，碰; 倚; 撞
fall vi. 1) 落下，跌落 2) 倒下，倒塌
below prep. 1) 在...下面 2) 在(某计量单位或刻度)以下， 小于（某等级、水平）
since prep. 自(从)...败兴, 从...以后<a style="color: black;">返回外链论坛：www.fok120.com，查看更加多</a>

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日元大贬值下的日本：外国游客更加多了，大白菜、牛肉面都在涨价