m5k1umn 发表于 2024-10-10 19:13:48

狂买比特币的 MicroStrategy 发行可转债 操作原理是什么


    <p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;"><span style="color: black;">以比特币为本业的软体<span style="color: black;">研发</span><span style="color: black;">机构</span>微策略 (MicroStrategy, MSTR) 睽违三年再度发行可转债,转换价格对比现今股价的溢价幅度高达 20%,到底有什么诱因吸引投资人认购这个长达六年,票面利率仅 0.625% 的可转债呢?而微策略的操作手法又是<span style="color: black;">怎样</span>?</span></span></p>
    <p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;"><strong style="color: blue;"><span style="color: black;">微策略睽违三年再度发可转债</span></strong></span></p>
    <p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;"><span style="color: black;">微策略宣布,将发行本金总额为 7 亿美元的 2030 年到期的可转换优先票据,向合格<span style="color: black;">公司</span>买家进行私募发行,发行<span style="color: black;">要求</span>如下:</span></span></p>
    <p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;"><span style="color: black;">● 到期日:2030 年 3 月 15 日到期</span></span></p>
    <p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;"><span style="color: black;">● 票面利率:0.625%</span></span></p>
    <p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;"><span style="color: black;">● 付息日:每半年支付一次利息 (每年 3 月 15 日和 9 月 15 日)</span></span></p>
    <p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;"><span style="color: black;">● 转换价格:1,498 美元</span></span></p>
    <p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;"><span style="color: black;">● 可转换日:2024/7/1~2030/3/13</span></span></p>
    <p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;"><span style="color: black;">● 可卖回权利:于 2028/9/15 后<span style="color: black;">能够</span>原价 (100) 卖回票据</span></span></p>
    <p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;"><span style="color: black;"><span style="color: black;">所说</span>的可转债<span style="color: black;">便是</span>债券有个附加条款,当股价高于某个价格时,就<span style="color: black;">能够</span>用约定的价格将债券转换成股票,其定价原理<span style="color: black;">便是</span><span style="color: black;">机构</span>债加上买入股票<span style="color: black;">选取</span>权的买权。</span></span></p>
    <p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;"><span style="color: black;">以订价日微策略股价 1,246 美元,到 1,498 美元的转换价,溢价幅度高达 20%。而票面利率仅 0.625%,与<span style="color: black;">日前</span>无<span style="color: black;">危害</span>的美国十年期国债 4.1% 的殖利率相比,利率几乎是微不足道,<span style="color: black;">为何</span>有投资人愿意购买呢?</span></span></p>
    <p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;"><strong style="color: blue;"><span style="color: black;">微策略发行可转债的<span style="color: black;">机会</span></span></strong></span></p>
    <p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;"><span style="color: black;"><span style="color: black;">咱们</span>先来回顾一下微策略<span style="color: black;">日前</span>发行的三档可转债,票面利率都极低<span style="color: black;">乃至</span>为零,转换价格与订价日期的价格<span style="color: black;">亦</span>都有二成以上的溢价,整理列表如下:</span></span></p>
    <div style="color: black; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 10px;"><img src="https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/a4a11881917f40cf9b19dde44a3a9d9b~noop.image?_iz=58558&amp;from=article.pc_detail&amp;lk3s=953192f4&amp;x-expires=1728825718&amp;x-signature=cNQ0wfTkWQbg9bWpVSUTExqTiBA%3D" style="width: 50%; margin-bottom: 20px;">
      <p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;">A</p>
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    <p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;"><span style="color: black;">微策略由 2020 年 9 月<span style="color: black;">起始</span>购买比特币,以此为<span style="color: black;">基本</span><span style="color: black;">初始</span><span style="color: black;">时期</span>,<span style="color: black;">咱们</span>用微策略股价和比特币价格 (橘线) 相<span style="color: black;">例如</span>下表,三个紫色箭头用以标示微策略发行可转债的时间,<span style="color: black;">发掘</span>发行时间都是在微策略股价<span style="color: black;">显著</span>高于比特币价格的时候,<span style="color: black;">咱们</span><span style="color: black;">能够</span>推测:</span></span></p>
    <div style="color: black; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 10px;"><img src="https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/51701f08e4514fbbb133feae60a64a5a~noop.image?_iz=58558&amp;from=article.pc_detail&amp;lk3s=953192f4&amp;x-expires=1728825718&amp;x-signature=Da6eSspCrbroWRb5n7Cj4ySvkBU%3D" style="width: 50%; margin-bottom: 20px;">
      <p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;">B</p>
    </div>
    <p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;"><span style="color: black;">在高股价的<span style="color: black;">同期</span>用<span style="color: black;">选取</span>权定价,可让转换价定在相对高点,市场的热络<span style="color: black;">心情</span>下,<span style="color: black;">选取</span>权的价格<span style="color: black;">亦</span>水涨船高,如此一来,就<span style="color: black;">能够</span>用几乎零成本的方式取得资金。</span></span></p>
    <p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;"><strong style="color: blue;"><span style="color: black;">投资人买可转债的考量</span></strong></span></p>
    <p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;"><span style="color: black;">那对投资人而言,<span style="color: black;">为么</span>要花钱买一个既收不到什么利息,转换价格又比<span style="color: black;">此刻</span>高 20% 的<span style="color: black;">制品</span>呢?<span style="color: black;">倘若</span><span style="color: black;">那样</span>看好微策略,直接用现价买入不就好了?<span style="color: black;">咱们</span>分析<span style="color: black;">原由</span>如下:</span></span></p>
    <p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;"><span style="color: black;">● <span style="color: black;">危害</span>低,六年后就算<span style="color: black;">无</span>转换<span style="color: black;">亦</span><span style="color: black;">能够</span>拿回本金 (除非微策略倒闭)</span></span></p>
    <p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;"><span style="color: black;">● <span style="color: black;">持有</span>六年<span style="color: black;">时期</span>的<span style="color: black;">选取</span>权,一旦微策略股价涨到 1,498 美元以上就可执行换股,以<span style="color: black;">选取</span>权的市场来看<span style="color: black;">非常</span>便宜</span></span></p>
    <p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;"><span style="color: black;">● 有提前赎回的机制:于 2028/9/15 后<span style="color: black;">能够</span>原价 (100) 卖回债券 (这是此档可转债特有的赎回机制)</span></span></p>
    <p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;"><span style="color: black;">相信会买微策略可转债的投资人,应是<span style="color: black;">非常</span>看好微策略的股价,只是又不想冒太大的<span style="color: black;">危害</span>,<span style="color: black;">因此</span><span style="color: black;">选取</span>用这种方式投入资金。</span></span></p>
    <p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;"><span style="color: black;">虽然不确定这些可转债的流动性<span style="color: black;">怎样</span>,但以彭博<span style="color: black;">日前</span>的报价,新的这档可转债价格是 109 美元,还是溢价发行!而之前那档转换价为 398 美元的 2025 年到期可转债,价格<span style="color: black;">更加是</span>飙涨到 258 美元,可见微策略募资的高明手段。</span></span></p>
    <div style="color: black; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 10px;"><img src="https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/d5b08db850e14e0b82bf8b7df70c83bf~noop.image?_iz=58558&amp;from=article.pc_detail&amp;lk3s=953192f4&amp;x-expires=1728825718&amp;x-signature=rN54vBhpgfuzLG9k%2Fr90lzHrazM%3D" style="width: 50%; margin-bottom: 20px;">
      <p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;">C</p>
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b1gc8v 发表于 2024-11-11 10:38:11

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